Question

How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?

Resolved:936k
Community Prediction591k677k775k887k1.02M1.16MMar 31Apr 04Apr 08Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28May 02May 06May 10May 14May 18May 22May 26May 30now
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
899k
(753k - 1.08M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

200k394k775k1.52M3M
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<200k0.4%
Quartiles
lower 25%752.8k
median899k
upper 75%1.08M
Upper bound
>3M0.7%

What was the final result?936k

Community Baseline Score
66.2
Community Peer Score
8.5
Opened:Nov 4, 2020
Closes:May 30, 2021
Resolves:Jan 2, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 6, 2020

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