Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?

Resolved :936k899k
9
8
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction899k (753k - 1.08M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<200k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3M
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
752.8k
899k
1.08M
0.7%

What was the final result?936k

Community Baseline Score
66.2
Community Peer Score
8.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Shanghai
BYD Auto
China
Tesla
Tesla Model 3
Tesla Model Y

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