Question

Will the UK government change its guidance to recommend face coverings in schools before they close?

Resolved :No6%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction6% (4% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

43.0

Community Peer Score

21.3

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Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

French ban on face covering

Multiple states bring back face mask rules as doctors warn of 'quad-demic' of viruses this winter

Daily Mail•Dec 20, 2024

Hospitals in Multiple Blue States Bring Back Mask Mandates As Fear of 'Quad-Demic' Spreads

Red State•Dec 20, 2024

Maps Show Where Mask Mandates Are Returning Across US

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

French ban on face covering

Multiple states bring back face mask rules as doctors warn of 'quad-demic' of viruses this winter

Daily Mail•Dec 20, 2024

Hospitals in Multiple Blue States Bring Back Mask Mandates As Fear of 'Quad-Demic' Spreads

Red State•Dec 20, 2024

Maps Show Where Mask Mandates Are Returning Across US

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

90%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the UK government change its guidance to recommend face coverings in schools before they close?

Make a Prediction

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

Comments

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?