Question

by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?

Resolved :No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters132

Community Prediction59%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 59%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-41.3

Community Peer Score

30.4

median 59.0%mean 59.6%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Technology

SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory

Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

Radio frequency

Stanford University

Communication

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

72%

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

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