Question
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction2040-07-18 (2031-07-20 - 2058-06-18)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2031 | — |
| median | 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | 2058 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2080-11-09 | 10.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
