Question

By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters210

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

80.0

Community Peer Score

19.1

median 10.0%mean 12.7%

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Catalonia

2017 Catalan independence referendum

Spain

Will Spain recognize Catalonia by 2070?

10%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Will the Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order become an independent, recognised country before 2035?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Catalonia

2017 Catalan independence referendum

Spain

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Spain recognize Catalonia by 2070?

10%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Will the Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order become an independent, recognised country before 2035?

35%