Question

By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction-3.74 (-9.39 - 1.93)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	<-50	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>50
community	0.3%	-9.389	-3.74	1.932	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-50	0.3%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	-9.389	—
median	-3.74	—
upper 75%	1.932	—
Upper bound
>50	0.3%	—

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Nov 9, 2020

Closes:

Feb 28, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 1, 2026

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

United States

COVID-19

Climate change denial

List of countries by carbon dioxide emissions

Climate recommendations? No stress. It’s easy to achieve them at home

Independent•Mar 3, 2025

EU gives carmakers ‘breathing space’ on pollution target as EV sales slump

Guardian•Mar 4, 2025

Combustion engine car sales have already peaked, data shows

Independent•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

65%

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

37.5B

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18%

Comments

? comments