Question
When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction2026-01-13 (2025-08-27 - 2026-12-03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2022-01-01 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Aug 2025 | — |
| median | Jan 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2035-12-31 | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
