Question

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction52% (43% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

Australia women's national soccer team

Australian Companies Team Up To Chase The Green Steel Dream

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

The American industry that wants more government intervention

NPR Online News•Dec 18, 2024

Takeaways from AP’s report on child labor in Nigeria lithium mines

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

Australia women's national soccer team

Australian Companies Team Up To Chase The Green Steel Dream

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

The American industry that wants more government intervention

NPR Online News•Dec 18, 2024

Takeaways from AP’s report on child labor in Nigeria lithium mines

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

Make a Prediction

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Comments

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?