Question

Will any states flip from the current projected winner?

Resolved :No

119 comments119

Total Forecasters202

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.3

Community Peer Score

11.1

median 2.0%mean 8.2%

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

Will at least one US state secede by 2070?

8.6%

Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?

90%

Comments

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