MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will Donald Trump attempt to pardon himself?

Resolved :No

24

Total Forecasters279

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.3

Community Peer Score

6.7

median 1.0%mean 2.4%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Watergate scandal

Presidency of Gerald Ford

Judge to rule whether to throw out Trump’s criminal hush money conviction

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

‘He has to deliver’: Trump’s dilemma on how far to go with promised pardons for January 6 rioters

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

'Lawlessness of the highest order': Ex-White House lawyer blasts Trump’s pardon pledge

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Watergate scandal

Presidency of Gerald Ford

Judge to rule whether to throw out Trump’s criminal hush money conviction

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

‘He has to deliver’: Trump’s dilemma on how far to go with promised pardons for January 6 rioters

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

'Lawlessness of the highest order': Ex-White House lawyer blasts Trump’s pardon pledge

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch