Question

Will Donald Trump attempt to pardon himself?

Resolved :No

68 comments68

Total Forecasters279

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.3

Community Peer Score

6.7

median 1.0%mean 2.4%

Authors:

t_adamczewski

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Donald Trump

United States

Watergate scandal

Presidency of Gerald Ford

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

t_adamczewski

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Donald Trump

United States

Watergate scandal

Presidency of Gerald Ford

Judge to rule whether to throw out Trump’s criminal hush money conviction

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

‘He has to deliver’: Trump’s dilemma on how far to go with promised pardons for January 6 rioters

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

'Lawlessness of the highest order': Ex-White House lawyer blasts Trump’s pardon pledge

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?

20%