Question

A major United States earthquake by 2023?

Resolved :No

65 comments65

Total Forecasters319

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

26.5

Community Peer Score

32.2

median 17.0%mean 21.0%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Natural Sciences

Mexico

West Coast of the United States

1906 San Francisco earthquake

2016 Old Iliamna earthquake

Utah

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?

Comments

? comments