Question

Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27, 2024?

37 comments37

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Cruise angel investor says Waymo's robotaxi has become his 'office on wheels'

Business Insider•Dec 24, 2024

Cruise angel investor says Waymo's robotaxi has become his 'office on wheels'

Business Insider•Dec 25, 2024

Waymo dominated U.S. robotaxi market in 2024, but Tesla and Amazon's Zoox loom

NBC•Dec 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

55%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

2.5%

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Cruise angel investor says Waymo's robotaxi has become his 'office on wheels'

Business Insider•Dec 24, 2024

Cruise angel investor says Waymo's robotaxi has become his 'office on wheels'

Business Insider•Dec 25, 2024

Waymo dominated U.S. robotaxi market in 2024, but Tesla and Amazon's Zoox loom

NBC•Dec 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

55%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

2.5%