Question

Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27, 2024?

Resolved :No1%

42 comments42

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

5.7

Community Peer Score

15.3

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Nov 16, 2020

Closes:

May 27, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 15, 2025

Economy & Business

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

May Mobility launches its first driverless commercial ride-hail service

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Hop in, no driver needed for this future ride-hailing robotaxi

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Uber CEO Hopes to Attract Tesla as a Self-Driving Partner Using His ‘Charm’

Observer (NY)•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

60%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

2.5%

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