Question

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction30% (20% - 50%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

How Trump Tariffs Could Shape U.S.-Mexico Energy Trades In 2025

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

How Trump could affect the oil market in 2025 and which stocks might benefit

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Tariff threats cast a shadow over US reliance on Canada for the majority of its oil imports

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

How Trump Tariffs Could Shape U.S.-Mexico Energy Trades In 2025

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

How Trump could affect the oil market in 2025 and which stocks might benefit

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Tariff threats cast a shadow over US reliance on Canada for the majority of its oil imports

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

25%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Make a Prediction

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Comments

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?