Question

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction30% (20% - 50%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Why Trump's plan to 'drill, baby, drill' is unlikely to cut gas prices and fix inflation

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

How Trump could affect the oil market in 2025 and which stocks might benefit

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Tariff threats cast a shadow over US reliance on Canada for the majority of its oil imports

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Why Trump's plan to 'drill, baby, drill' is unlikely to cut gas prices and fix inflation

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

How Trump could affect the oil market in 2025 and which stocks might benefit

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Tariff threats cast a shadow over US reliance on Canada for the majority of its oil imports

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

25%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Make a Prediction

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Comments

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?