Question
Question
When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :Apr 18, 2021Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction2021-03-23
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My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2022-12-30
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2021-03-05 12:04
2021-03-23 06:39
2021-04-15 03:50
0.7%
What was the final result?Apr 18, 2021
Community Baseline Score
27.9
Community Peer Score
3.0
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