Question

Will the US Senate Majority Leader be a Republican on February 1st 2021?

Resolved :No

92 comments92

Total Forecasters163

Community Prediction58%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-75.1

Community Peer Score

23.5

median 58.0%mean 59.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Kamala Harris

Republican Party (US)

Joe Biden

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

List of United States senators from Georgia

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Kamala Harris

Republican Party (US)

Joe Biden

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

List of United States senators from Georgia

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%