Question

What will be the minimum unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2021?

Resolved :3.95.07

13 comments13

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction5.07 (4.7 - 5.38)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10

...

4.7

5.074

5.38

0.4%

What was the final result?3.9

Community Baseline Score

31.5

Community Peer Score

3.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Wall Street sees 'slower' pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025

•Dec 17, 2024

Another Fed rate cut is likely Wednesday. So is a forecast for fewer drops in 2025.

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

Number seeking unemployment drops right before holidays after big jump a week ago

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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