Question

Will the UK's second wave reach 1000 deaths/day?

Resolved :Yes99%

135 comments135

Total Forecasters282

Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-48.5

Community Beer Score

22.5

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

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Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2020-2022 Leaderboard

Two men killed by falling trees as Storm Darragh brings winds of nearly 100mph

Guardian•Dec 9, 2024

Wes Streeting holds winter crisis talks with NHS bosses in England

Guardian•Dec 10, 2024

The condition that remains the UK’s leading cause of death

Independent•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

49%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2020-2022 Leaderboard

Two men killed by falling trees as Storm Darragh brings winds of nearly 100mph

Guardian•Dec 9, 2024

Wes Streeting holds winter crisis talks with NHS bosses in England

Guardian•Dec 10, 2024

The condition that remains the UK’s leading cause of death

Independent•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

49%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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Will the UK's second wave reach 1000 deaths/day?

Make a Prediction

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?