Question
What will the margin of victory be between Kelly Loeffler and Raphael Warnock in the 2020 5 Jan GA Special Election?
Resolved :-2.08-0.649Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction-0.649 (-1.97 - 0.83)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-6 | 3.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -1.968 | — |
| median | -0.6492 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.8299 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6 | 2.6% | — |
What was the final result?-2.08
Community Baseline Score
-3.4
Community Peer Score
17.1
Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Jan 5, 2021
Resolves:Jan 23, 2021
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Jan 5, 2021
Resolves:Jan 23, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch