Question

Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?

Resolved :5

28 comments28

Total Forecasters83

Community Prediction4.93

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

3.02

4.93

5.03

What was the final result?5

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

Badenoch, Cleverly, Jenrick, Tugendhat: four ways for the Tories to reach the same wilderness | Rafael Behr

Guardian•Oct 2, 2024

Party all night! Bizarre scenes as popstar Peter Andre writhes on stage with boisterous Tories while leading party conference 'Mysterious Girl' singalong

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Robert Jenrick promises a ‘new Conservative party’

Spectator (UK)•Oct 2, 2024

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Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

MetaculusM

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Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?

Make a Prediction

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?