Question

When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2033-04-03

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-01

...

2029-08-20 05:24

2033-04-03 04:14

>2035-01-01 00:00

35.7%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2014 Scottish independence referendum

Proposed second Scottish independence referendum

2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum

Boris Johnson

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

2.4%

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

52.3%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?

0.1%

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