Question

Will Andrew Yang run for mayor of New York in 2021?

Resolved :Yes

49 comments49

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

25.1

Community Peer Score

8.9

median 99.0%mean 95.7%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

2021 New York City mayoral election

Bill de Blasio

Mayor Eric Adams gets April 2025 trial date

•Nov 13, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams requests earlier trial date so he can focus on reelection campaign

•Nov 13, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams trial date set for April

CBS•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

2021 New York City mayoral election

Bill de Blasio

Mayor Eric Adams gets April 2025 trial date

•Nov 13, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams requests earlier trial date so he can focus on reelection campaign

•Nov 13, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams trial date set for April

CBS•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%