Question
When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?
Resolved :Nov 22, 20212022-01-10Total Forecasters245
Community Prediction2022-01-10 (2021-11-15 - 2022-05-31)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 Nov 2021 | — |
| median | 10 Jan 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 31 May 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2022-12-21 | 14.8% | — |
What was the final result?Nov 22, 2021
Community Baseline Score
33.5
Community Peer Score
23.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 20, 2021
Resolves:Dec 20, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 20, 2021
Resolves:Dec 20, 2021
