Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in February 2021?

Resolved :791k

5 comments5

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction783k

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My Prediction

community

<300k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>900k

...

0.4%

733.6k

782.9k

826.8k

6.8%

What was the final result?791k

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SimonM

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What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.09

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

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Authors:

SimonM

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Closes:

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Brace for stock-market volatility this week if inflation comes in hot after the September jobs report, BofA says

Business Insider•Oct 8, 2024

Jobless Claims Jump to 258,000, Higher Than Expected

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2024

US jobless claims hit 258,000, the most in a year. Analysts point to Hurricane Helene, Boeing strike

Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.09