Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in February 2021?

Resolved :791k783k

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction783k (734k - 827k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<300k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>900k
community	0.4%	733.6k	782.9k	826.8k	6.8%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<300k	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	733.6k	—
median	782.9k	—
upper 75%	826.8k	—
Upper bound
>900k	6.8%	—

What was the final result?791k

Community Baseline Score

15.0

Community Peer Score

18.0

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Nov 26, 2020

Closes:

Feb 15, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 8, 2021

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

The number of Americans filing for jobless benefits falls as labor market remains sturdy

Associated Press•Mar 6, 2025

The pivotal February jobs report is out Friday. Here's what to expect

CNBC•Mar 7, 2025

What to expect from the first jobs report of Trump’s second presidency

CNN•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

40%

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.29

What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

6.55

Comments

? comments