Question

How effective will a second RCT find the most effective regimen of the AstraZenca SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be?

Resolved :76

23 comments23

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction82.5

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

74.85

82.45

88.54

What was the final result?76

Community Baseline Score

41.1

Community Peer Score

21.5

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How Rwanda Is Containing a Deadly Marburg Virus Outbreak

Scientific American•Oct 9, 2024

Covid vaccine: How to book a jab and who is eligible?

Independent•Oct 14, 2024

Treatment cuts cervical cancer deaths by 40% in ‘biggest breakthrough for decades’

Independent•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99