Question
How effective will a second RCT find the most effective regimen of the AstraZenca SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be?
Resolved :7682.5Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction82.5 (74.9 - 88.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 74.85 | — |
| median | 82.45 | — |
| upper 75% | 88.54 | — |
What was the final result?76
Community Baseline Score
41.1
Community Peer Score
21.5
Authors:
Opened:Nov 29, 2020
Closes:Mar 22, 2021
Resolves:May 9, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 29, 2020
Closes:Mar 22, 2021
Resolves:May 9, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch