Question

Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction46% (43% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 46%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Dec 1, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2060

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Singapore

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

Netherlands

Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

United Nations General Assembly

NATO

Japan won’t join UN meeting on nuclear weapons ban, citing support for US deterrence

Associated Press•Mar 3, 2025

Nuclear weapons: dangerous threat or just a menace?

American Thinker•Mar 4, 2025

Nuclear Abolition is Focus of UN Meetings in New York

CounterPunch•Mar 6, 2025

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0.357

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