Question

How efficacious will the Sputnik V SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be according to the peer reviewed results of the Phase 3 RCT?

Resolved :91.6

11 comments11

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction89

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

81.63

88.98

92.03

What was the final result?91.6

Community Baseline Score

82.3

Community Peer Score

39.0

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russian Direct Investment Fund

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Comments

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Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russian Direct Investment Fund

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%