Question

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

78 comments78

Total Forecasters443

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

41.2

Community Peer Score

15.2

median 85.0%mean 85.1%

Authors:

Uncle Jeff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Republicans Just 2 Seats Away From House Control—As Ballots Uncounted In Some States

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Republicans 2 seats away from House majority, giving Trump leeway to implement agenda

FOX News•Nov 13, 2024

Republicans Now Only 1 Seat Away From House Control

Forbes•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Comments

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