Question

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?

Resolved :Yes85%

78 comments78

Total Forecasters443

Community Prediction85% (81% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

41.2

Community Peer Score

15.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Uncle Jeff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

How Gerrymandering and Fair Maps Affected the Battle for the House

•Dec 17, 2024

How Republicans view their party and key issues facing the country as the 118th Congress begins

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Uncle Jeff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

How Gerrymandering and Fair Maps Affected the Battle for the House

•Dec 17, 2024

How Republicans view their party and key issues facing the country as the 118th Congress begins

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

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MetaculusM

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?

Make a Prediction

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Comments

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?