Question

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction

30%

(23% - 40%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Dec 18, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 19, 2020

China's Shenzhou-19 spacecraft lands in country's north

NBC•Apr 30, 2025

China says it is on track to put boots on Moon by 2030 as Nasa’s Artemis struggles with delay

Independent•Apr 29, 2025

China to lend moon rocks to NASA-funded U.S. universities

NBC•Apr 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Dec 18, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 19, 2020

China's Shenzhou-19 spacecraft lands in country's north

NBC•Apr 30, 2025

China says it is on track to put boots on Moon by 2030 as Nasa’s Artemis struggles with delay

Independent•Apr 29, 2025

China to lend moon rocks to NASA-funded U.S. universities

NBC•Apr 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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5.98

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

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When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?

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