Question

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction30% (20% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

NASA finalizes strategy for human presence in space

FOX News•Dec 21, 2024

How China's satellite megaprojects are challenging Elon Musk's Starlink

CNBC•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

NASA finalizes strategy for human presence in space

FOX News•Dec 21, 2024

How China's satellite megaprojects are challenging Elon Musk's Starlink

CNBC•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?

2029-01-22

Will the United States land humans on the moon again before 2025?

0.1%

When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-07-29