Question

Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?

Resolved :Yes58%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction58% (50% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 58%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

20.2

Community Peer Score

5.3

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Sports & Entertainment

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The Walt Disney Company

United States

Federal Authority to Track, Disable Drones to Expire Without Spending Bill

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Harvard and Google to release 1 million public-domain books as AI training dataset

TechCrunch•Dec 13, 2024

Popeye and Tintin enter the public domain in 2025 along with novels from Faulkner and Hemingway

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

13.5%

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

10%

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

0.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Sports & Entertainment

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The Walt Disney Company

United States

Federal Authority to Track, Disable Drones to Expire Without Spending Bill

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Harvard and Google to release 1 million public-domain books as AI training dataset

TechCrunch•Dec 13, 2024

Popeye and Tintin enter the public domain in 2025 along with novels from Faulkner and Hemingway

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

13.5%

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

10%

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

0.9%

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Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?

Make a Prediction

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

Comments

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published?

Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?