Question

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction65.5 (37.7 - 114)

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CDF

weight:

	<1	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>1k
community	0.2%	37.73	65.49	113.5	1.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<1	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	37.73	—
median	65.49	—
upper 75%	113.5	—
Upper bound
>1k	1.9%	—

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Dec 8, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

Eroom's law

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