Question

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction65.5

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

0.2%

37.73

65.49

113.5

1.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Business

Food and Drug Administration

Methodology

Eroom's law

Pharmacology

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

221

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Business

Food and Drug Administration

Methodology

Eroom's law

Pharmacology

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Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

221