Question

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction65.5 (37.7 - 114)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

0.2%

37.73

65.49

113.5

1.9%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

Eroom's law

Pharmacology

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Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

224

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

110k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

Eroom's law

Pharmacology

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

The Fed's Warnings On Inflation Are Bad News For Biotech Startups

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

224

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

110k

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How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

Comments

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?