Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the results of the Electoral College be formally challenged in the House in 2021?

Resolved :Yes98%
11
33
Total Forecasters127
Community Prediction98% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
36.1
Community Peer Score
14.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2020-2021 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Stephanie Tubbs Jones
Barbara Boxer
US Electoral College
US Congress
Ohio
US Senate

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