Question

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

41 comments41

Total Forecasters514

Community Prediction97% (90% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Nov 21, 2017

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 14, 2100

Environment & Climate

United States

Paris Agreement

NASA

January wasn't expected to break global temperature records. But it did.

NPR Online News•Feb 12, 2025

Climate change target of 2C is ‘dead’, says renowned climate scientist

Guardian•Feb 15, 2025

Half a degree rise in global warming will triple area of Earth that is 'too hot for humans’

Independent•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much global warming by 2100?

3.04

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

2044-12-23

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2100 in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

11.6

Comments

? comments