Question

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction2066-02

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3000-12

...

2057-03

2066-02

2103-12

13.4%

Authors:

cakridge2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2060-05

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

35%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

cakridge2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2060-05

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

35%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52%

MetaculusM

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When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Make a Prediction

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

Comments

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?