Question

A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?

Resolved :No37%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction37% (25% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.0

Community Peer Score

8.3

Authors:

muzzle

Opened:

Nov 23, 2017

Closes:

Feb 1, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2019

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Geophysical Research Letters

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Daily Mail•Jan 22, 2025

Maine earthquake: Shaking felt from Boston to Portland in New England

CNN•Jan 27, 2025

Earthquake with 3.8 magnitude rattles Maine, Boston on Atlantic coast

New York Post•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

24.5%

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

69.7k

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

14%

Comments

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