Question

How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :8.21k9.04k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction9.04k (8.36k - 9.88k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<5.5k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>14.5k

...

0.6%

8.362k

9.045k

9.877k

1.3%

What was the final result?8.21k

Community Baseline Score

44.4

Community Peer Score

15.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Artificial Intelligence

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

4 ways artificial intelligence revealed the unexpected in 2024

CNN•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

34.8k

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

110k

How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

14.4k

Comments

? comments