M

Question

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :260
10
4
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction287

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<90
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>700
...
...
...
...
...
1.5%
239.2
287
338.1
0.4%

What was the final result?260

Community Baseline Score
52.7
Community Peer Score
37.4
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Artificial Intelligence
ArXiv
Ethics
Machine learning
Interpretability
AI control problem

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