Question

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?

Resolved :260

4 comments4

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction287

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<90

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>700

...

1.5%

239.2

287

338.1

0.4%

What was the final result?260

Community Baseline Score

52.7

Community Peer Score

37.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Artificial Intelligence

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50k

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