M

Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2021-06-14 in top-1 accuracy?

Resolved :86.8
6
8
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction86.6

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>95
...
...
...
...
86.46
86.57
87.05
0.3%

What was the final result?86.8

Community Baseline Score
42.1
Community Peer Score
42.7
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Artificial Intelligence
ImageNet
Database
Machine learning

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