Question

Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction46%

Make a Prediction

community: 46%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.4

Community Peer Score

-3.0

median 46.0%mean 46.9%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Europe

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

59%

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?

53.5

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Europe

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

59%

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?

53.5