Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on MiniImageNet be, on 2021-06-14, in accuracy?

Resolved :84.8

16 comments16

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction84.3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>90

...

83.05

84.33

85.97

2.2%

What was the final result?84.8

Community Baseline Score

10.9

Community Peer Score

27.8

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress

AI Technical Benchmarks

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

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