Question

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?

Resolved :118

11 comments11

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction116

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>127

...

115.1

116.4

118.6

1.0%

What was the final result?118

Community Baseline Score

29.2

Community Peer Score

3.7

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

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What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

195

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

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