Question

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by the end of 2021?

Resolved :288M275M

30 comments30

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction275M (262M - 293M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>700M

...

261.5M

275.4M

293M

0.3%

What was the final result?288M

Community Baseline Score

53.7

Community Peer Score

36.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economist 2021

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments