Question

When will the U.S. rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement?

Resolved :Jan 20, 20212021-01-23

14 comments14

Total Forecasters105

Community Prediction2021-01-23 (2021-01-19 - 2021-01-29)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2021-12-30

...

2021-01-19 07:42

2021-01-23 14:05

2021-01-29 17:51

0.1%

What was the final result?Jan 20, 2021

Community Baseline Score

17.8

Community Peer Score

2.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

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Economist 2021

Politics

Environment & Climate

2020-2021 Leaderboard

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Will the US start the process of withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement before January 1, 2026?

75%

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2038-01-24

If Joe Biden becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita for the US in 2024, in tonnes?

14.3

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