Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?

Resolved :No58%
7
12
Total Forecasters98
Community Prediction58% (51% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-56.9
Community Peer Score
2.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economist 2021
Environment & Climate
2020-2021 Leaderboard
2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference
Paris Agreement
Glasgow
United Kingdom
United Nations Climate Change conference
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

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