Question

What will be the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on December 31, 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?

Resolved :23.3

46 comments46

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction23.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

21.4

23.7

26.3

What was the final result?23.3

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

24%

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

60%

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

2028-06

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Wall Street heads into fourth quarter with historic momentum

CNBC•Oct 2, 2024

Looking to invest in the 'Magnificent Seven'? Dan Niles reveals the 2 he likes

CNBC•Oct 4, 2024

These are the most important stocks in the U.S., according to Bank of America

CNBC•Oct 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

24%

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

60%

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

2028-06

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

What will be the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on December 31, 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?

Make a Prediction

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

Comments

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

When will a publicly traded company have a market cap of at least $5 trillion USD?