Question

What will be the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on December 31, 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?

Resolved :23.323.7

43 comments43

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction23.7 (21.4 - 26.3)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

21.36

23.7

26.32

What was the final result?23.3

Community Baseline Score

103.9

Community Peer Score

23.0

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economist 2021

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Big tech shares power Nasdaq to record high close. Bitcoin also climbs before Fed meeting

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

Growth stocks join the sell-off as investors dump 2024 winners

CNBC•Dec 20, 2024

Tech stocks are among those that are still cheap and loved by Wall Street heading into 2025

CNBC•Dec 21, 2024

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